
Bitcoin Skyrockets: A Summer of Easing Fuels Largest Surge in Two Months!
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BTC surged more than 7.5% on Wednesday, marking its most substantial gain since March 20.
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Weak U.S. economic data increased the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in September.
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Both the Bank of England (BOE) and the European Central Bank (ECB) are likely to reduce rates in June.
Bitcoin (BTC) recorded its most significant daily increase in almost two months on Wednesday, as disappointing U.S. economic data heightened the probability that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will implement rate cuts over the summer, aligning with the easing policies of other major central banks.
As per data from TradingView and other sources, the leading cryptocurrency by market capitalization surged over 7.5% to $66,250. This increase is the largest percentage rise since March 20. Like other risk assets, BTC reacts positively to anticipated changes in the monetary policies of major central banks, especially when cheaper borrowing costs are expected.
U.S. Labor Department data released on Wednesday indicated that the consumer price index (CPI) grew less than expected in April, suggesting a continued decline in the cost of living in the U.S. economy. The headline CPI rose by 0.3% in April, following a 0.4% increase in March and February. Meanwhile, the core CPI, which excludes food and energy costs, also grew by 0.3% in April, down from March’s 0.4% increase.
Additional data revealed that headline retail sales growth stagnated in April, with the “control group” category, which is factored into GDP calculations, declining by 0.3% month-on-month.
Consequently, expectations for a rate cut have shifted considerably. Fed funds futures now indicate that traders anticipate the Fed will implement its first 25 basis point rate cut in September. The Fed has also indicated that it plans to slow down the rate of quantitative tightening, another form of liquidity tightening, starting in June.
This trend is not isolated to the Fed. Markets expect that the BOE and ECB will also reduce rates in June. Additionally, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) and Sweden’s Riksbank have already lowered their benchmark borrowing rates.
Global central banks are increasingly adopting more accommodative monetary policies, which bodes well for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. This trend is reflected in the chart below from MacroMicro, a data monitoring website.
The percentage of global central banks that have recently increased rates is rapidly declining, whereas the percentage that has cut rates is on the rise.
In simpler terms, the net proportion of central banks implementing rate cuts is increasing.
As explained by MacroMicro, “The higher this proportion, the more central banks are cutting rates, which could boost market liquidity. Conversely, a lower proportion signifies reduced market liquidity.”
The prospect of greater liquidity easing over the summer should bolster equities, providing investors with sufficient confidence to pursue higher-risk investments, according to brokerage firm Pepperstone.
